Loans For Cars :: News
SHARE

Share this news item!

Inflation's Tug of War: Implications for Rate Hikes in August

Inflation's Tug of War: Implications for Rate Hikes in August

With inflation persistently on the rise, Australian homeowners brace for potential interest rate hikes as early as August.
New data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics indicates that inflation remained at a worrisome 4% annually by May 2024, causing increasing concern among economists and the general public alike.

The most dramatic rises were noted in housing (up 5.2%), alcohol and tobacco (up 6.7%), and transportation (up 4.9%). With these figures, inflation has climbed from 3.4% in February to its current position, leading many experts to predict imminent rate adjustments.

This adverse inflation report has prompted many, including Betashares' chief economist David Bassanese, to foresee significant upward pressure on interest rates. "The annual inflation measures have stuck stubbornly around 4%, and this spells trouble for controlling economic stability," noted Bassanese.

For Deutsche Bank, the expectation is clear: a rise in interest rates to around 4.6% is on the cards at the August meeting. Factors compounding the inflation issue include unexpectedly high immigration, significant infrastructure projects, and elevated costs in health and personal services, among others.

  1. Higher costs in housing and basic services.
  2. Continued pressure on energy prices due to climate change.
  3. Failing government policies exacerbating the issue.

Despite weak consumer spending, these entrenched inflation drivers have forced analysts like Bassanese to acknowledge profound systemic failures at both federal and state levels. Adding to these woes, the reluctance of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to reduce rates anytime soon could see future hikes implemented to combat prolonged inflationary tendencies.

Financial services leader Steve Mickenbecker from Canstar also warned that the RBA is gearing up for potential increases. He argues that with scant indicators of inflation nearing the target range, delaying any hikes would unnecessarily prolong economic pain for borrowers. For instance, a modest rate hike of 0.25% could elevate monthly repayments on a $600,000 home loan by $100.

Furthermore, tax cuts and living cost relief measures set to commence next month may spur further consumer spending, countering the RBA's efforts to restrain household expenses. Moody's Analytics' Harry Murphy Cruise expressed concerns that most household savings will possibly be spent quickly and could intensify inflationary pressures.

Economist Anneke Thompson of CreditorWatch further elaborates that the unprecedented migration levels have driven up demand across non-discretionary services and housing, prompting businesses within these sectors to hike prices. While a slowdown in net migration is anticipated, the impact on broader economic equilibrium will take time.

Meanwhile, KPMG’s chief economist Brendan Rynne believes the RBA may not rush to push rates even higher but predicts they will remain elevated for an extended period. He’s talking about the first significant rate cuts only being feasible by February 2025.

Rynne further correlates Australia's inflation trajectory with the US, which had experienced similar inflation patterns with a slight time lag. Notably, the US saw a biphasic inflation curve - with a resurgence before a subsequent decline, a pattern Australia might similarly follow.

In addressing the broader economic implications, RBA Assistant Governor Chris Kent acknowledged the challenge higher rates pose for families, suggesting that present cash rates are already in restrictive territory. According to Paul Bloxham, HSBC’s chief economist, this assertion aligns with the RBA's wary stance against tightening further while simultaneously achieving economic balance.

Published:Saturday, 29th Jun 2024
Source: Paige Estritori

Share this news item:

Finance News

Housing Crisis in Australia: Deeper Trouble Ahead Housing Crisis in Australia: Deeper Trouble Ahead
16 Jul 2024: Paige Estritori

Australia is grappling with an increasingly severe housing crisis as rising interest rates and skyrocketing construction costs stifle the supply of new homes. Experts fear that the national goal of constructing 1.2 million new homes over the next five years will remain out of reach. - read more
Australian Households Face Toughest Economic Times Since '90s Australian Households Face Toughest Economic Times Since '90s
15 Jul 2024: Paige Estritori

As Australia's economic climate continues to worsen, households are encountering unprecedented financial challenges, marking the gravest consumer recession since the early 1990s, excluding the impacts of recent pandemic-related downturns. - read more
Banks Set for Major Refunds to Assist Struggling Customers Banks Set for Major Refunds to Assist Struggling Customers
15 Jul 2024: Paige Estritori

In a groundbreaking move, four prominent Australian banks are poised to return nearly $30 million to their low-income customers. This significant refund follows an in-depth review by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC). - read more
Financial Adviser Head Count Sees Marginal Gains Financial Adviser Head Count Sees Marginal Gains
13 Jul 2024: Paige Estritori

The landscape of financial advisers in Australia continues to be dynamic with numbers showcasing a slight growth after a period of declines. In the latest analysis by WealthData, Australia faced a modest net increase of 39 financial advisers this week, coming off the Financial Adviser Register (FAR). - read more
Aussie Incomes Take a Nosedive Amid Global Struggles Aussie Incomes Take a Nosedive Amid Global Struggles
11 Jul 2024: Paige Estritori

In an unsettling turn of events, Australian households have experienced one of the most dramatic drop-offs in real per capita household disposable incomes globally. - read more
Potential Perils of Stage 3 Tax Cuts Unveiled Potential Perils of Stage 3 Tax Cuts Unveiled
11 Jul 2024: Paige Estritori

As Australians anticipate padded pocketbooks from Stage 3 tax cuts, emerging concerns involve the risk of increased inflation that could pressure mortgage holders with steeper interest rates, posits an economist. - read more
Shifting Tides: Diverging Paths for Consumers and Businesses in Australia Shifting Tides: Diverging Paths for Consumers and Businesses in Australia
10 Jul 2024: Paige Estritori

As data from recent surveys illustrate, Australian households are sinking deeper into financial gloom, while businesses are finding a glimmer of optimism amid persisting challenges. - read more


Car Loans Articles

Loans for Cars: Establishing How Much You Can Afford to Borrow Loans for Cars: Establishing How Much You Can Afford to Borrow
When it comes to car loans, one of the first things you need to determine is your budget – how much can you afford to borrow and still comfortably make your monthly car loan repayments? - read more
Loans for Cars: Finding the Best Financing Options Loans for Cars: Finding the Best Financing Options
The cost of buying a car is a major financial commitment, so it's important to consider all of your options before making a purchase. In this article, we look at some of the pros and cons of the most common car financing options, including leasing, hire purchase and paying cash, and what difference it makes whether you are buying a new or used vehicle. - read more
Leveraging Trade-In Values and Loans for an Australian Car Upgrade Leveraging Trade-In Values and Loans for an Australian Car Upgrade
For many Australians, a car is more than just a means of transportation; it's a symbol of freedom, a tool for exploration, and often, a reflection of personal style. With the auto market continually evolving, staying abreast of current trends is key for car buyers looking to upgrade. New models with advanced technology, improved fuel efficiency, and enhanced safety features enter the market each year, making the prospect of upgrading increasingly appealing. - read more
Your Ultimate Guide to Car Finance in Australia: Top Tips for Finding the Best Deals Your Ultimate Guide to Car Finance in Australia: Top Tips for Finding the Best Deals
Car finance in Australia presents a myriad of options for those looking to purchase a vehicle through a payment plan. Understanding how car finance works is crucial to navigating this complex landscape and finding a deal that aligns with your financial goals. From loans offered by banks and credit unions to dealer financing and specialised car finance companies, the choices are extensive. - read more
Loans for Cars: Finding out if you Qualify Loans for Cars: Finding out if you Qualify
Qualifying for a car loan isn't all that difficult. There are a few key things that lenders will look at when considering your application, including your income, credit history/existing loans, employment, age, and residency atatus. As long as you have a good understanding of these factors, you’ll be in a much better position to qualify for a car loan. Keep reading to learn everything you need to know about qualifying for a car loan! - read more
Things You Wish You Knew Before Buying a Car Things You Wish You Knew Before Buying a Car
Welcome to Things You Wish You Knew Before Buying a Car – the ultimate guide to understanding car financing.For a limited time, you can download a free copy of this valuable resource. Our retail price for the eBook is AUD $19.95, but we're offering it to you for free – no strings attached! Click to Download Free - read more
Insurance Renewal Approaching? Tips to Ensure You're Still Getting the Best Rate! Insurance Renewal Approaching? Tips to Ensure You're Still Getting the Best Rate!
Is it that time of the year again when your car insurance is up for renewal? Often, it comes as a reminder in the mail or a notification from your insurer. But instead of instinctively renewing your existing policy, let's pause and explore the underrated benefits of a periodic insurance review. Taking the time to scrutinize your policy could unveil potential savings and align coverage with your current needs. - read more
Avoid Rejection: Common Pitfalls to Sidestep in Meeting Car Loan Criteria Avoid Rejection: Common Pitfalls to Sidestep in Meeting Car Loan Criteria
Entering the realm of self-employment brings with it not only the freedom to be your own boss but also unique challenges, especially when it comes to securing financing for significant purchases like a car. For the self-employed, the path to obtaining a car loan can be fraught with additional hurdles, stemming from the variable nature of their income and the scrutiny lenders apply to their financial profiles. - read more
Your Ultimate Guide to Car Finance in Australia: Top Tips for Finding the Best Deals Your Ultimate Guide to Car Finance in Australia: Top Tips for Finding the Best Deals
Car finance in Australia presents a myriad of options for those looking to purchase a vehicle through a payment plan. Understanding how car finance works is crucial to navigating this complex landscape and finding a deal that aligns with your financial goals. From loans offered by banks and credit unions to dealer financing and specialised car finance companies, the choices are extensive. - read more
Leveraging Trade-In Values and Loans for an Australian Car Upgrade Leveraging Trade-In Values and Loans for an Australian Car Upgrade
For many Australians, a car is more than just a means of transportation; it's a symbol of freedom, a tool for exploration, and often, a reflection of personal style. With the auto market continually evolving, staying abreast of current trends is key for car buyers looking to upgrade. New models with advanced technology, improved fuel efficiency, and enhanced safety features enter the market each year, making the prospect of upgrading increasingly appealing. - read more
Self-Employed? Here's How You Can Qualify for a Car Loan in Australia Self-Employed? Here's How You Can Qualify for a Car Loan in Australia
Stepping into the world of self-employment can be a profoundly liberating experience, offering greater flexibility and the potential for financial independence. However, when it comes to securing finance for substantial purchases like a vehicle, self-employed individuals may face unique hurdles. Traditional lenders often favor those with a stable employment history and regular income statements, which can put the self-employed at a disadvantage. - read more


Need Help Finding a Loan?
Get a free car loan eligibility assessment and compare offers tailored specifically to your circumstances.
Loan Amount:
Postcode:
All finance quotes are provided free (via our secure server) and without obligation.
We respect your privacy.

Knowledgebase
Personal Loan:
a loan that is granted for personal use, normally unsecured and granted by a lender on the borrower's integrity and capacity to repay