Reserve Bank Anticipates Significant Rate Reduction
Reserve Bank Anticipates Significant Rate Reduction
The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is poised to decrease the official cash rate by a notable 50 basis points this week.
This action comes on the heels of a cumulative 75 basis points reduction across the last two monetary policy discussions.
The proposed reduction would bring the rate to 4.25%, aligning closely with the neutral range of 3% to 4%, just prior to the extended summer hiatus. ASB Bank has remarked, “the case for another sizeable cut remains almost as strong as it was in October and is the least-regrets path at present.”
ASB highlights, “With inflation back around the target mid-point and spare capacity starting to build up, the amount of monetary restraint needs to be quickly pared back. A 50bp cut would achieve that.” These actions would ensure the official cash rate remains above the estimated 'neutral' level, granting room for adjustments in response to any unexpected inflationary pressures.
According to financial market predictions on Monday, an anticipatory adjustment of 96 basis points is forecasted through the November and February meetings, suggesting an additional likely 50 basis points reduction in February.
Despite the speculation, ASB maintains a projection of a more moderate 25 basis points cut in February, with subsequent decreases at following meetings. The bank asserts, “With the process of monetary policy normalisation largely complete, we expect a higher hurdle to OCR moves over 2025. The speed of future cuts is likely to slow back down over 2025.”
The prospect of ongoing reductions will rely heavily on upcoming financial insights and occurrences. ASB bankers anticipate that the Reserve Bank will signal this in its forthcoming communications. ASB stands by its forecast that, starting 2025, the Reserve Bank might initiate four consecutive 25 basis point deductions, eventually settling the rate at 3.25%.
This expected trajectory remains mostly in line with the 3% endpoint conveyed in preceding Monetary Policy Statements from the Reserve Bank. As noted by ASB, “However, it will be the evolution of the economy and inflation pressures relative to the Reserve Bank’s current expectations that dictates the pace, and we see risks in both directions.”
As sourced from previous reports, including those in reputable financial outlets, the key emphasis remains on responsiveness to future economic indicators and global financial conditions. With the Reserve Bank playing a critical role, the path of the official cash rate will be pivotal in steering New Zealand's economic course over the coming years.
Published:Tuesday, 3rd Dec 2024 Source: Paige Estritori
Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.
In a significant move to promote the adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) among Australian consumers, the federal government has announced a new loan scheme designed to make EVs more accessible and affordable. This initiative aims to reduce the financial barriers associated with purchasing electric cars, thereby encouraging a shift towards more sustainable transportation options. - read more
The Australian Automotive Dealer Association (AADA), in collaboration with AutoGrab, has released the November 2025 Automotive Insights Report (AIR), revealing a significant downturn in the used car market as the year concludes. - read more
In a significant move towards promoting sustainable transportation, the Clean Energy Finance Corporation (CEFC) has committed up to $60 million in partnership with Hyundai Capital Australia (HCAU) to make electric vehicles (EVs) more affordable for Australian consumers. - read more
The Australian automotive market is witnessing a significant shift as consumers increasingly opt for hybrid vehicles, balancing practicality with environmental consciousness. Recent data from the Australian Automotive Dealer Association (AADA) and AutoGrab reveals that used hybrid car sales have more than doubled over the past two years, escalating from 6,868 units in October 2023 to 14,784 in October 2025. - read more
The Australian Automotive Dealer Association (AADA), in collaboration with AutoGrab, has released the December 2025 Automotive Insights Report (AIR), revealing a significant downturn in the used car market as the year concluded. - read more
The Australian automotive market is witnessing a significant shift in consumer preferences, with plug-in hybrid vehicles (PHEVs) experiencing a remarkable surge in sales, while traditional petrol vehicle sales continue to decline. - read more
In a significant move within the Australian financial sector, Macquarie Bank has agreed to sell a $1.5 billion portfolio of car loans to Allied Credit, a leading independent financier in Australia. This portfolio encompasses over 50,000 car loans and is slated for transfer by the fourth quarter of 2025. - read more
Specialist lenders are financial institutions that offer tailored loan products to meet the unique needs of borrowers who may not be well-served by traditional banks. These lenders often have more flexible lending criteria and can accommodate a broader range of financial situations. - read more
Is it that time of the year again when your car insurance is up for renewal? Often, it comes as a reminder in the mail or a notification from your insurer. But instead of instinctively renewing your existing policy, let's pause and explore the underrated benefits of a periodic insurance review. Taking the time to scrutinize your policy could unveil potential savings and align coverage with your current needs. - read more
For many Australians, a car is more than just a means of transportation; it's a symbol of freedom, a tool for exploration, and often, a reflection of personal style. With the auto market continually evolving, staying abreast of current trends is key for car buyers looking to upgrade. New models with advanced technology, improved fuel efficiency, and enhanced safety features enter the market each year, making the prospect of upgrading increasingly appealing. - read more
Embarking on the journey of car ownership comes with its share of responsibilities, one of which is securing affordable insurance. Understanding the intricacies of insurance rates is central to managing this recurring expense effectively. Insurers take into account numerous factors when determining your premium, including but not limited to driving history, vehicle type, and geographic location. - read more
If you're in the market for a new car, you're probably wondering what you need to do to get the best car loan. It's no secret that the car dealership will try to sell you a loan, but you don't have to take their offer! In fact, you can get a much better loan if you know what you're doing. - read more
Welcome to the guide designed to help you navigate the intricate world of credit scores and their impact on your car loan possibilities in Australia. Whether you're a long-term resident or here for a temporary stay, understanding the nuts and bolts of credit scores is crucial in securing your ideal vehicle through a loan. This post aims to shed light on this pivotal financial metric and aid you in your car financing journey. - read more
Welcome to your essential guide for Australian first-time car buyers! Whether you're dreaming of your first sleek, new vehicle or a reliable pre-owned car, buying a car for the first time is a big milestone and an exciting experience. - read more
Start Here !
All quotes are provided free and without obligation. We respect your privacy.
Knowledgebase
Certificate of Deposit (CD): A savings certificate with a fixed maturity date and specified interest rate, typically higher than a standard savings account.