RBA Remains Cautious Despite Economic Slowdown

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Though the economy is experiencing a downturn, RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasizes that the demand for goods and services still outstrips supply capabilities.

"It's understandable that people think a slower economy should lead to rate cuts, but we need tangible inflation improvement before making such a move," Bullock stated during her speech on Thursday.

This comes in the wake of a modest 0.2% economic growth in the June quarter, with an annual increase holding at 1%, marking the lowest since the 1991 recession outside the pandemic period.

The slowdown was anticipated as a consequence of maintained high-interest rates aimed at dampening demand to curb inflation.

Despite slowing growth, Bullock pointed out that demand remains high partly because post-pandemic resurgence has sustained some strength in the economy.

She also mentioned the ongoing underperformance on the supply side, particularly in productivity growth.

"It's a matter of growth rates versus levels," she explained at the Anika Foundation Fundraising Lunch, indicating that inflation persists due to demand remaining higher than supply capabilities.

This protracted wait for interest rate cuts is challenging for the federal government, which faces scrutiny over its budgetary decisions and their impact on inflation.

Bullock acknowledged that both federal and state governments are wrestling with inflation as it directly affects their regions' residents.

When asked if Treasurer Jim Chalmers was shifting blame to the RBA, Bullock refrained from commenting directly but clarified both were committed to their roles.

The opposition has leveraged the national accounts to criticize the government, with Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor suggesting a conflict between government spending and RBA's inflation control measures.

In defense, Finance Minister Katy Gallagher highlighted that the government's expenditure was strategically targeted to support the economy without exacerbating inflation;

"Had the government not provided necessary aid during this period, the economic figures would have been worse," Gallagher told ABC TV on Thursday.

Bullock further dedicated significant portions of her speech to the hazards posed by stubborn high inflation.

She cautioned that although inflation expectations are stable, this stability is not guaranteed. A scenario of expected consistent price rises could necessitate further interest rate hikes.

"In that case, we would need to throttle the economy more, leading to higher unemployment and potential recession," she warned.

Prolonged inflation risks pushing more borrowers, particularly those with lower incomes, into mortgage stress and potentially forcing home sales.

"High inflation is why there is so much cost of living discussion - it adversely affects everyone, especially the most vulnerable,” Bullock concluded.

Published:Friday, 6th Sep 2024
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Electric Vehicles Capture 20% of Australian New Car Market

11 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

In May 2026, electric vehicles (EVs) achieved a significant milestone in Australia, accounting for 20% of all new car sales. This development indicates a substantial shift in consumer preferences towards more sustainable transportation options. - read more

ASIC Calls for Enhanced Standards in Auto Finance Lending

11 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has conducted a comprehensive review of the motor vehicle finance sector, uncovering significant concerns regarding lending practices. This examination has highlighted issues such as exorbitant establishment fees and a troubling rate of early loan defaults, raising questions about the adequacy of current lending standards. - read more

Electric Vehicle Financing Defies Market Trends with 48% Growth

04 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

In a remarkable development, electric vehicle (EV) financing in Australia has experienced a 48% year-on-year increase, even as the overall motor finance market saw a 3% decline. This data, released by the Australian Finance Industry Association (AFIA), underscores a significant shift in consumer preferences towards sustainable transportation options. - read more

Understanding the Impact of RBA's Rate Hikes on Your Borrowing Power

04 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has implemented three consecutive rate hikes in 2026, bringing the official cash rate to 4.35%. With the next RBA board meeting scheduled for 16 June, borrowers across Australia are keenly awaiting potential further changes and their implications. - read more

Toyota Expands Electric Vehicle Offerings with Hilux BEV and bZ4X Touring

28 May 2026: Paige Estritori

Toyota has made significant strides in the Australian electric vehicle (EV) market with the recent launch of the Hilux BEV and the bZ4X Touring. These additions reflect Toyota's commitment to providing a diverse range of low-emission vehicles tailored to various consumer preferences. - read more

Electric Vehicles Capture 16.4% of Australian New Car Sales in April 2026

20 May 2026: Paige Estritori

In April 2026, electric vehicles (EVs) accounted for 16.4% of all new car sales in Australia, marking a significant milestone in the nation's automotive market. This equates to approximately one in every six new vehicles sold being electric, highlighting a rapid shift towards sustainable transportation. - read more

Australian Dwelling Finance Approvals Experience 3.8% Decline in First Quarter of 2026

20 May 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian housing finance sector has witnessed a significant downturn, with new dwelling finance approvals falling by 3.8% in the first quarter of 2026. This marks the largest quarterly decline in three years, signaling potential challenges within the housing market. - read more

Click for more Finance News